Projected current and future plant distributions in the Pacific Northwest

Projected current and future distributions of Abies amabilis (Pacific silver fir), Abies grandis (Grand fir), Abies procera (Noble fir), Acer macophylla (Big leaf maple), Larix lyallii (Subalpine larch), Larix occidentalis (Western larch), Pinus albicaulis (Whitebark pine), Quercus garryana (Garry oak), Taxus brevifolia (Pacific yew), Thuja plicata (Western red cedar) based on empirical bioclimatic models. Tree distributions models were built using 42 climate and bioclimatic variables from Climate Western North America climate dataset (www.climatevulnerability.org). I used random forest to project USGS range maps (http://esp.cr.usgs.gov/data/little/) for historical (1961-1990) and five general circulation models (GCMs) for the SRES A2 emissions scenario. GCMs included: BCCR BCM2.0 (2070-2099), CCCMA CGCM3 (2070-2099), CSIRO MK 3.0 (2070-2099), INMCM 3.0 (2070-2099), and MIROC3.2 MEDRES (2070-2099).

Data and Resources

Field Value
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theme {geospatial}
Groups
  • AmeriGEOSS
  • National Provider
  • North America
Tags
  • abies-amabilis
  • amerigeo
  • amerigeoss
  • bergen-climate-model-bcm-2-0
  • bjerknes-centre-for-climate-research-bccr
  • canadian-centre-for-climate-modelling-and-analysis-cccma
  • ckan
  • commonwealth-scientific-and-industrial-research-organisation-csiro-mark-3-0
  • coupled-global-climate-model-cgcm-3
  • geo
  • geoss
  • institute-for-numerical-mathematics-inm-cm-3-0
  • model-for-interdisciplinary-research-on-climate-miroc-3-2-medres
  • national
  • north-america
  • pacific-silver-fir
  • projections
  • tree-range-shift
  • tree-species-distributions
  • united-states
  • vulnerability-assessment
  • western-canada
  • western-north-america
  • western-united-states
isopen False
license_id notspecified
license_title License not specified
maintainer (Point of Contact)
maintainer_email mcase@u.washington.edu
metadata_created 2025-11-21T00:30:27.393694
metadata_modified 2025-11-21T00:30:27.393699
notes Projected current and future distributions of Abies amabilis (Pacific silver fir), Abies grandis (Grand fir), Abies procera (Noble fir), Acer macophylla (Big leaf maple), Larix lyallii (Subalpine larch), Larix occidentalis (Western larch), Pinus albicaulis (Whitebark pine), Quercus garryana (Garry oak), Taxus brevifolia (Pacific yew), Thuja plicata (Western red cedar) based on empirical bioclimatic models. Tree distributions models were built using 42 climate and bioclimatic variables from Climate Western North America climate dataset (www.climatevulnerability.org). I used random forest to project USGS range maps (http://esp.cr.usgs.gov/data/little/) for historical (1961-1990) and five general circulation models (GCMs) for the SRES A2 emissions scenario. GCMs included: BCCR BCM2.0 (2070-2099), CCCMA CGCM3 (2070-2099), CSIRO MK 3.0 (2070-2099), INMCM 3.0 (2070-2099), and MIROC3.2 MEDRES (2070-2099).
num_resources 2
num_tags 24
title Projected current and future plant distributions in the Pacific Northwest