Land Use and Land Cover Projections for California's 4th Climate Assessment

This dataset consists of modeled projections of land use and land cover and population for the State of California for the period 1970-2101. For the 1970-2001 period, we used the USGS's LUCAS model to "backcast" LULC, beginning with the 2001 initial conditions and ending with 1970. For future projections, the model was initialized in 2001 and run forward on an annual time step to 2100. In total 5 simulations were run with 10 Monte Carlo replications of each simulation. The simulations include: 1) Historical backcast from 2001-1970, 2) Business-as-usual (BAU) projection from 2001-2101, and 3) three modified BAU projections based on California Department of Finance population projections based on high, medium, and low growth rates.

Data and Resources

Field Value
accessLevel public
bureauCode {010:12}
catalog_@context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
catalog_conformsTo https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
catalog_describedBy https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
identifier USGS:587fb408e4b085de6c11f389
metadata_type geospatial
modified 20200830
old-spatial -125.37597656108, 32.063584805751, -113.73046874904, 42.13049682121
publisher U.S. Geological Survey
publisher_hierarchy Department of the Interior > U.S. Geological Survey
resource-type Dataset
source_datajson_identifier true
source_hash 906f668c71da0562d9d050f72aca65f915b5afb3
source_schema_version 1.1
spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [[[-125.37597656108, 32.063584805751], [-125.37597656108, 42.13049682121], [ -113.73046874904, 42.13049682121], [ -113.73046874904, 32.063584805751], [-125.37597656108, 32.063584805751]]]}
theme {geospatial}
Groups
  • AmeriGEOSS
  • National Provider
  • North America
Tags
  • amerigeo
  • amerigeoss
  • california
  • ckan
  • geo
  • geoss
  • land-cover
  • land-use
  • lucas-model
  • national
  • north-america
  • projection
  • scenario
  • united-states
  • usgs-587fb408e4b085de6c11f389
isopen False
license_id notspecified
license_title License not specified
maintainer Benjamin Sleeter
maintainer_email bsleeter@usgs.gov
metadata_created 2025-11-20T12:32:39.845227
metadata_modified 2025-11-20T12:32:39.845231
notes This dataset consists of modeled projections of land use and land cover and population for the State of California for the period 1970-2101. For the 1970-2001 period, we used the USGS's LUCAS model to "backcast" LULC, beginning with the 2001 initial conditions and ending with 1970. For future projections, the model was initialized in 2001 and run forward on an annual time step to 2100. In total 5 simulations were run with 10 Monte Carlo replications of each simulation. The simulations include: 1) Historical backcast from 2001-1970, 2) Business-as-usual (BAU) projection from 2001-2101, and 3) three modified BAU projections based on California Department of Finance population projections based on high, medium, and low growth rates.
num_resources 2
num_tags 15
title Land Use and Land Cover Projections for California's 4th Climate Assessment